Independence Day: Resurgence took in a very mediocre $43 million on its domestic opening weekend. Yet, director Roland Emmerich seems pretty confident that a third Independence Day movie will happen. Without getting into any HEAVY spoilers, the ending for Resurgence (very poorly) sets up for an even bigger fight to happen. Here’s Emmerich talking about plans for the third movie, prior to the release of Resurgence.
“The next one will be an intergalactic journey. It’ll be [set] maybe a year or two later, not 20 years [on]. I want to maintain this group of people, especially the young characters, and Jeff [Goldblum] and Brent [Spiner] will take part in it. It’ll be fun to keep that group together. Will I definitely direct it? Oh yes. I’d never, ever let someone else do it.”
Emmerich’s confidence in another film happening is irrelevant if Resurgence doesn’t perform at the box office. Through its first weekend, Resurgence has made $43 million domestically, with another $100 million overseas. Sounds like a lot of money right? Except the cost of production for the long-awaited sequel is in the $165 million range. So through the first weekend, Resurgence has made back its production budget, but would then have to nearly double its overall earnings to make up for marketing, and begin to make the studio a profit.
Honestly, I hate talking numbers, but we’re in a movie industry where money is everything, no matter how rich or poor the quality of the product is. The topic is whether or not another film will happen, and as we’ve seen with other blockbusters (i.e. Transformers 5) even the ones we may not ask for could still happen. Resurgence will have somewhat of an uphill battle going into next weekend’s box office.
Fourth of July weekend will bring a wide variety of new movies. The Legend of Tarzan, The BFG, and The Purge: Election Year each offer something to different types of movie going audiences. Families looking for something to take their kids to see are likely to check out Steven Spielberg’s The BFG. Action junkies could look towards The Purge: Election Year, which is coming off a strong sequel from the franchise. Then there’s The Legend of Tarzan opening (starring Margot Robbie), which offers a unique and dark take on the classic tale. For a movie like Resurgence, which didn’t get spectacular review, the competition is especially stiff.
Luckily, none of the movies above offer that mindless, high action popcorn flick potential, with a bit of nostalgia going for it, like Resurgence. Plus, an argument can be made for general movie goers that there’s no better film to watch on Independence Day weekend then the sequel to Independence Day. The movie may not be as cool and fun as the original, but maybe that’s not a priority for other people. I personally did not like it, but I’ve read quite a few comments on the web from others who got what they expected (which wasn’t anything special).
So if Emmerich wants his sequel, his film’s best chance will be to have a less than expected drop off at the box office going into its second (holiday) weekend. And I have a group of audiences will make time for this movie, because of its name. We’ll see what happens a week from now.
sources: Empire Magazine, ScreenRant